Lone Star State voters serve up the opening salvo of the 2026 midterm elections, as Republicans and Democrats decide who they want to be their candidates for the U.S. Senate on Tuesday.
Longtime Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) is in the fight of his life against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, and both of them also face Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-TX) for the GOP primary for the nomination for U.S. Senate. The top two vote-getters, assuming none of them reach at least 50 percent of the vote, will advance to a runoff in May. Cornyn’s campaign and his outside allies have heavily outspent Paxton and Hunt, but Paxton has consistently polled atop the field from the very beginning. Establishment Republicans in Washington fear Paxton is a weaker general election candidate, and worry he may end up opening Texas up to going blue for the first time in generations. But Paxton’s team insists he can and will win in November if given the nomination, arguing he has survived impeachment pushes and multiple statewide elections to his current post.
Down-ticket, several GOP congressmen like Reps. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) and Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) face competitive primaries and may lose their races.
Outside of Texas, North Carolinians are also selecting their standard-bearers in U.S. Senate primaries on Tuesday, but it’s almost certain that Republicans will nominate former Republican National Committee (RNC) chairman Michael Whatley and Democrats will nominate former Gov. Roy Cooper. There could be some interesting down-ticket races in North Carolina too. In addition, voters in Arkansas–where there are no real contested federal primaries this cycle–will make their selections. Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR), the Senate GOP conference chairman, is running for reelection there.
The polls in North Carolina close at 7:30 p.m. ET, in most of Texas at 8 p.m. ET–the rest of Texas, the westernmost two counties, close their polls at 9:00 p.m. ET–and in Arkansas at 8:30 p.m. ET. Follow along here on Breitbart News for live results, news, and analysis as the votes are counted in the first primaries of the 2026 midterm elections.
This is not official yet, but Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report says that Cornyn and Paxton will advance to a runoff in May.
The final results are still trickling in slowly but surely, and how each candidate finishes and in what order–and how much support they have in total–is all still unknown. But this would suggest that Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-TX) did not have the juice to pull this one off.
UPDATE 9:28 p.m. ET:
Rep. Al Green (D-TX) is in serious trouble in his own primary after he was drawn into the same district as a fellow Democrat, Rep. Christian Menefee (D-TX). Green going down to a freshman member in a member-member primary would be a huge deal, as he’s been around for a long time in the House. He’s also one of the loudest voices in favor of impeaching Trump, so this would be a setback for that effort on the Democrat side if he were to go down:
UPDATE 9:23 p.m. ET:
UPDATE 9:23 p.m. ET:
As expected, both Whatley and Cotton won the GOP nominations respectively in North Carolina and Arkansas:
UPDATE 9:18 p.m. ET:
In the GOP primary in Texas, Paxton is inching ever so closer to Cornyn. With just 40 percent reporting, Cornyn’s lead is down to less than 3 percent–Cornyn is at 42.8 percent to Paxton’s 40.2 percent–and down to just about 25,000 votes.
UPDATE 9:05 p.m. ET:
UPDATE 9:00 p.m. ET:
Down-ticket in Texas, Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) appears to be in very serious trouble and may be cruising toward a loss in his primary. This would be earth-shattering in Washington:
UPDATE 8:57 p.m. ET:
With 35 percent reporting in the Democrat primary in Texas, Talarico has taken the lead 52.1 percent to Crocket’s 46.8 percent. It’s looking really tough for Crockett to come back from this.
UPDATE 8:35 p.m. ET:
The Democrat primary is tightening big time, with Talarico catching up but still trailing Crockett by a few percent. Nonetheless, he is considered the “heavy favorite” at this point with the margins he is getting in key places, per Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report:
UPDATE 8:32 p.m. ET:
Some races in Texas are starting to see some calls–these are unsurprising:
UPDATE 8:28 p.m. ET:
That same New York Times report on the spending in Texas also revealed that Cornyn and his outside allies outspent Paxton by even more–$69 million for Cornyn to just about $4 million for Paxton. These numbers are astounding in both races.
UPDATE 8:25 p.m. ET:
If Talarico does pull off the 11th hour finish, it will likely be because of megadonors who surged in to back him at the end with tens of millions more dollars than Crockett spent on her campaign. Per the New York Times, “in the photo-finish Democratic primary contest, supporters of State Representative James Talarico have helped him heavily outspend Representative Jasmine Crockett and her allies by about $24.5 million to $5 million on ads..”
UPDATE 8:18 p.m. ET:
The early returns in Texas suggest that the expectations of both Crockett and Talarico going into the race were right:
UPDATE 8:16 p.m. ET:
With 9 percent reporting on the Democrat side in Texas, Crockett leads Talarico 53.9 to 45.3 percent–by about 22,000 votes–with a long way to go.
UPDATE 8:14 p.m. ET:
With 11 percent reporting on the GOP side in Texas, Cornyn leads Paxton by about 22,000 votes–46.1 to 37.5 percent–with a long way still to go.
UPDATE 8:10 p.m. ET:
The first results are coming in from Texas, and it’s very early but Crockett has a huge lead over Talarico and Cornyn has a huge lead over Paxton–both of these are sort of surprising. However, only 9 percent of precincts are reporting so far so it’s early and this will likely change.
UPDATE 8:07 p.m. ET:
Crockett, along with Colin Allred, is crying foul about reported widespread issues in the Dallas area:
UPDATE 8:04 p.m. ET:
Polls have closed in North Carolina and Texas. Results are expected imminently.
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