Map shows Donald Trump’s approval rating in every state after 14 months

Almost exactly 14 months after President Donald Trump was inaugurated for a second term, new polling shows his approval rating remains deeply polarized, with strong support in red states and broad opposition across much of the country.

White House spokesperson Davis Ingle told Newsweek, “What matters most to the American people is having a commander-in-chief who takes decisive action to eliminate threats and keep them safe.”

Why It Matters

Trump’s standing with voters will shape the political terrain heading into the 2026 midterm elections, when control of Congress is again up for grabs. 

Approval ratings at this stage of a presidency often signal enthusiasm, vulnerability, and turnout risk—especially in closely divided states.

What To Know

According to data from Civiqs, among 92,593 registered voters surveyed from January 20, 2025, to March 19, 2026, Trump’s approval stands at 39 percent, with 57 percent disapproving, giving a net approval rating (those who approve minus those who disapprove) of -18 percentage points, which underscores a presidency that remains underwater overall. 

The state map reveals a familiar pattern: deep red states largely holding firm, deep blue states overwhelmingly opposed, and swing states where disapproval leads but not by insurmountable margins.

Deep Red States: Trump’s Core Support Holds

Trump continues to post his strongest numbers across much of the South, Great Plains and Mountain West, where approval often reaches or exceeds the mid‑50s.

Wyoming represents the state where Trump commands the most support, with 58 percent approving of his performance as president and 36 percent disapproving, giving a net approval rating of plus 22 percentage points—the strongest showing for Trump in this particular data set.  

Oklahoma and West Virginia follow closely, showing 58 and 57 percent approval, and 38 and 37 percent disapproval, respectively, giving a plus-20-point net approval rating for both states. 

North Dakota (55 percent approve), Arkansas (56 percent approve), Idaho (54 percent approve), South Dakota (53 percent approve), Tennessee (53 percent approve) and Alabama (53 percent approve) also remain solidly supportive.

In these states, disapproval rarely rises above the low 40s, suggesting opinions are largely settled. 

Compared with earlier snapshots last fall and winter, these states show little evidence of erosion, reinforcing Trump’s durable base in reliably Republican territory.

Lean Red: Supportive but Narrower Margins

A second tier of Republican‑leaning states shows Trump with either narrow approval advantages or near parity.

Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Nebraska and Utah all cluster around the 49–50 percent approval mark, with disapproval close behind. 

Montana posts a modest edge at 51 percent approval, while Ohio stands near even at 46 percent approve and 49 percent disapprove.

These states reflect a more mixed electorate: Trump remains competitive, but support is not as dominant as in the deep red core.

Swing States: Underwater, but Still Competitive

Every major battleground state shows Trump underwater—but the gaps are notably smaller than in deep blue America.

In Arizona and North Carolina, 44 and 43 percent approve, respectively, compared with 52 and 53 percent disapproval, giving net approving ratings of -8 and -10. 

Wisconsin posts 43 percent approval and 54 percent disapproval, giving a -11 net approval rating. 

Pennsylvania and Nevada each show approval just under 40 percent, with mid‑50s disapproval, giving them both negative net approval ratings of -17. 

Michigan follows a similar pattern at 37 percent approving and 58 percent disapproving—a net approval rating of -21.

Georgia continues to lean against Trump, with 39 percent approval and 56 percent disapproval: a net approval rating of -17.

While none of these states currently show majority approval, the margins are often within 8 to 12 points—leaving room for movement driven by turnout, economic conditions or major national events as the midterms approach.

Deep Blue States: Opposition Remains Overwhelming

Trump faces his steepest resistance along the West Coast and in the Northeast, where disapproval consistently exceeds two‑thirds of voters.

Hawaii (77 percent disapprove), Vermont (76 percent), Massachusetts (72 percent) and Maryland (70 percent) post some of the most lopsided numbers. 

California shows 69 percent disapproval, while Washington and Oregon register 67 and 66 percent, respectively.

In New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Delaware, disapproval remains firmly in the mid‑60s, with approval typically in the low 30s or below.

These states show little sign of softening since earlier polling snapshots, underscoring entrenched opposition rather than short‑term dissatisfaction.

Demographic Crosscurrents

The broader demographic picture mirrors the state map.

Trump performs strongest among Republicans, with 88 percent approval, while 97 percent of Democrats disapprove. 

Independents lean against him by a wide margin, with 60 percent disapproving.

Age remains a key fault line. Voters aged 18–34 disapprove by more than 40 points, while voters over 50 are far more evenly split. Women disapprove by 30 points, compared with near parity among men.

Education also plays a role: approval drops steadily from non‑college graduates to postgraduate voters.

Poll Methodology 

Civiqs conducts scientifically sampled online surveys using its own nationally representative panel, with results weighted and modeled to reflect the U.S. population. 

Rather than a single margin of error, Civiqs uses a Bayesian statistical model that produces 95 percent credibility intervals, accounting for sampling variation and daily shifts in opinion.

What People Are Saying 

White House spokesperson Davis Ingle told Newsweek: “What matters most to the American people is having a commander-in-chief who takes decisive action to eliminate threats and keep them safe, which is exactly what President Trump is doing with the ongoing successful Operation Epic Fury.

“President Trump campaigned proudly on his promise to deny the Iranian regime the ability to develop a nuclear weapon, which is what this noble operation is seeking to accomplish. The President does not make these incredibly important national security decisions based on fluid opinion polls, but on the best interests of the American people.”

A White House official told Newsweek: “Polling shows President Trump’s decision to launch Operation Epic Fury has Americans’ support—with MAGA and Republicans strongly supporting it. 

“Despite some online commentators with large followings publicly disagreeing with the President’s decision—and many legacy media outlets eagerly highlighting their comments to try and sow division—the MAGA base is not wavering one bit. These commentators claiming this will somehow fracture the president’s support are not backed by or reflected in the polling data.”

What Happens Next

With opinions already hardened across much of the map, any change is likely to hinge on events that shift turnout or intensity in closely divided swing states rather than broad national opinion swings.